Sleepers are great because you can draft them in far later rounds, but they still produce as many points as a first or second round pick. Obviously, this can have a dramatic positive affect on your fantasy points and record. However, due to this uncertainty, sleeper picks are a large gamble. Therefore, avoid overdrafting them.
With all of this in mind, the top sleeper picks for 2010 are:
1. Jerome Harrison – Although it is true that the Cleveland Browns have not had a stellar running game in a long time, Harrison may be the spark the Browns need to get back into the playoffs. In the final three games of the Browns' 2009 season, Harrision ran for 561 yards and 5 touchdowns and averaged 5.3 yards per carry. However, these numbers were put up against three of the worst rushing defenses at the time (Kansas City, Oakland, and Jacksonville) and against teams that were essentially already eliminated from playoff contention. We will learn quickly if these numbers are a legitimate indication of Harrison's ability, as he is projected to be the starting Browns running back for the 2010 season.
2. Michael Crabtree – Crabtree did not put up any spectacular numbers in the 2009 season and plays on a 49ers team of slight relevance. Due to these facts, Crabtree will not be on many fantasy owners' radar. However, even though the 49ers have not made much of an impact in recent memory, the 49ers finally have some quality players in place to make a playoff run in 2010, and Crabtree is a big part of that goal. Look for Crabtree to get a majority of the passing attempts and thus, the opportunity to put up big fantasy numbers.
Ray Flowers: Last season Matt Schaub stayed healthy for a full season for the first time, and the results were spectacular. Schaub led the league with 4,770 yards, tossed 29 scores, and completed nearly 68 percent of his passes. Andre Johnson will once again pace the team, actually he should pace all receivers regardless of team, but the Texans really don't have a strong secondary option to support AJ at the moment. Owen Daniels is still working his way back from another knee injury, and though he should be fine by Week 1, his health is a concern. The same can be said of Steve Slaton and that neck injury of his. Will he even be able to contribute? Therefore, I'm calling out the Patrick Willis same guy I mentioned last year, and that is Kevin Walter.
It might surprise some, but Walter was actually second on the Texans last year in catches (53) and yards (611), and he clearly wasn't anywhere near his best because of physical issues. He'll have to contend with Jacoby Jones, I could have listed Jones as well as the Texans coaching staff has been raving out him all offseason, but I'm gonna say Walter who is just one year removed from back-to-back 60-catch, 800-yard seasons. After all, teams don't normally give 5-year deals for over $21 million to guys they figure will serve as backups.
Cory Elfrink: My guy? Here's a hint. He's 6-foot-4, runs a 4.38 40, and boasts a 43-inch vertical. Within the first few weeks of the 2009 training camp, he had locked up the No. 1 receiver spot on his team. The man is Chazeray Schilens. As we all know, he broke his foot in mid-August and was unable to Vernon Davis suit up for the Raiders until Week 10. He then caught multiple passes in every one of his eight games, despite a rotating cast of losers throwing him the ball. With Jason Campbell under center, Schilens has a worthy partner in the passing attack and I expect these two to hook up early and often in 2010. Sure, there may be 50 wideouts ranked ahead of him, but Chaz has top 25 upside. You like third-year receivers? You have to love Schilens. Despite offseason surgery on the same foot, he has a clean bill of health and will be ready to dominate the Raiders' camp once again. With a little health, he could win a few fantasy championships in 2010.
Eric McClung: Michael Crabtree put up huge numbers during college in the spread offense, and Alex Smith played his best football last year in the spread offense. Hey, I see a love connection here. If Crabtree grabbed 48 receptions and 625 yards in 11 games without a training camp as a rookie, he's going to do a lot more damage this year. Mr. Crabs is being selected as the No. 18 wideout and I guess that's fair, but I see him flirting as a top-10 player at the position based on the growth of Smith. When it's time to select a No. 2 receiver, Crabtree is at the top of my wish list.
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